October Surprise?
By Anthony | September 29th, 2006 | 8:40 amA friend pointed this out to me yesterday – apparently, Karl Rove has an October surprise up his sleeve for the elections this year:
In the past week, Karl Rove has been promising Republican insiders an “October surprise” to help win the November congressional elections … Rove is not saying what the October surprise will be … Rove said, “I’d rather let the balance [of plans for the elections] unroll on its own.”
My guesses as to what the surprise may be:
- Bush gets it over with and declares himself dictator for life
- Osama has been found in John Bolton’s moustache
- Fruitcake
- Constitutional ammendment banning anyone from voting for Democrats
Any guesses, serious or unserious? Put them in the comments.

September 29th, 2006 at 10:03 am
I’m reasonably sure that, barring international interference, we’re going to attack Iran in the fairly near future. I’m not sure, however, that we will do so before the election, so that could be neither October nor, given all the signals the government has been sending, a surprise.
September 29th, 2006 at 2:06 pm
Given that for a surprise like this to work, Rove and company must have fore-knowledge of it, I think there are several possibilities: 1) The US announces that it is in possession of the dead body of Osama Bin Laden who die from natural causes 2) Bush announces a major terrorist plot was recently foiled or 3) Some previously unreleased or “secret” report will be “leaked” outlining how the economy has been improving or that several prominent Democrats are in cahoots with terrorists.
September 29th, 2006 at 9:09 pm
My vote? No surprise. Or at least no surprise that’s any good. If he really, really had something, why hype it? Must be that he thinks the hype has value. If Bush has Osama or anything like that, it’ll speak for itself and no need to buck up the troops. If he doesn’t have anything, bucking up the troops is the best he’s got. They know they’re going to get crushed. Limiting the damage by rallying the base is the best they can do.
September 30th, 2006 at 3:43 pm
I think that the October Surprise is already underway. By the third week in November, I’m sure that we’ll see a reversal in gas and fuel prices.
September 30th, 2006 at 9:40 pm
We’ve been hearing this nonsense about Fall surprises by the Bush Administration for three election cycles now.
The only pre election “surprises” come from the not-so loyal opposition, and are usually blown out of the water immediately, thereby fulfilling the Law of Unintended Consequences promise.
The demonstrably “fake but accurate” Texas ANG Dan Rather debacle comes to mind first.
October 1st, 2006 at 9:44 am
Does the stock market seem high to anyone given the earnings forecasts?
I wonder if the markets begin falling starting in the next few days and continue into election time…will this impact the outcome?
If housing slows and current values decline…how many will move into foreclosure which will then hurt banks.
October 1st, 2006 at 4:50 pm
Maybe the surprise is that GOP congressmen like young boys and GOP leadership doesn’t seem to mind.
October 1st, 2006 at 6:20 pm
You want a “surprise”?
Here’s the (not so surprising) surprise, and an .
October 1st, 2006 at 6:23 pm
Update.
October 3rd, 2006 at 8:59 am
Actually, I think I’m forced to agree that with the Foley mess, the Republican’s hand is being forced into one of the only options they have left for an October surprise – attacking Iran.
God help us if I’m right. I hope I am not, but this October surprise wouldn’t surprise me at all.
October 5th, 2006 at 7:29 pm
…attacking Iran…why? Who gains?